Today’s Infectious Disease News (5/9/20)

New Model Simulations Raise Predicted COVID-19 Death Toll

Health officials are warning that a flattening of the COVID curve for the United States does not paint an accurate picture of the reality on the ground throughout most of the country. New data show that a few US metropolitan areas such as New York City, Detroit and New Orleans are making progress lessening new COVID-19 cases, but when these 3 regions are parsed from the rest of country, a clear upward trajectory emerges. New models predict a continued upward trend in cases for most of the country in the coming weeks. The historically conservative model favored by the Trump administration has doubled its projection to 135,000 deaths.

Full Story: New York Times , CDC

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